#001 Three measurements of effectiveness for the COVID-19 vaccines

A 3-stage review of vaccine performance in England

There are 3 real-world measurements to gauge the effectiveness of any vaccine:

1. Does the vaccine reduce the number of infections from the virus?

2. Does the vaccine reduce the number of deaths from the virus?

3. Does the vaccine help to reduce the overall number of  excess deaths?

i) Did  the vaccine reduce infections levels of the virus?

The COVID-19 vaccine was rolled out in England on 8^th December 2020. At that time, there had been 1.5 Million cases of COVID-19 ‘confirmed’ by the PCR ‘test’ over the previous 9 months.

Figure 1.1  Cumulative covid cases V Cumulative vaccine doses (all time)

Within 5 weeks of the vaccine roll out, the number of cases had doubled to 3.0 Million. The Government immediately put the blame on the public – for mixing over Christmas – and Hancock also picked the perfect time to ‘deploy the new variant’ as Alpha/Kent found itself in the line-up of Usual Suspects.

This parlour trick would be repeated for a second time. Just before the roll out of the Booster in September 2021, England had recorded 6 Million positive ‘cases’ of COVID19. By this time, 77Million doses of vaccine (Dose 1 + Dose 2) had been administered. Within 6 months of the booster roll out, the number of cases had jumped by 10 Million, to 16 Million – an increase of 167%.

Figure 1.2  Daily Omicron cases V Daily Booster doses

Of all the graphs I have produced during the ‘pandemic’ I have never seen a graphic with such clear correlation as this. There is no doubt in my mind, that the Booster vaccine, drove the number of positive cases over this time. The Government would of course plant the blame on ‘OMICRON’. Once again, the timing of the variants provided the perfect cover to camouflage the impact of the vaccines.

To date in England, there have been 21.5 Million cases of COVID-19 reported. 1.5 Million of those occurred within the 9 months prior to the vaccine. 20 Million after the vaccine roll out.

Conclusion #01:

No. The COVID-19 Vaccine did not reduce infection levels of the COVID-19 virus.

ii) Did the vaccine reduce the number of deaths from the virus?

To date, 186,000 deaths have been attributed to COVID-19 in England. Of those deaths, 69,000 occurred prior to the roll out of the COVID-19 vaccine on 8^th December 2020 (37%).

117,000 further deaths attributed to COVID-19 have been reported in England since the roll out of the COVID-19 vaccines (63%)

Figure 2.1  Cumulative covid deaths V Cumulative COVID-19 vaccine doses

We know from the ONS data that at least 60,000 of those 117,000 ‘COVID’ deaths were amongst the vaccinated. The ONS have also confirmed that of the 30,000 ‘COVID’ deaths recorded throughout 2022, 27,000 (90%) had been vaccinated, including 23,000 that were boosted (77%).

Conclusion #02:

No. The COVID-19 Vaccine did not reduce the number of deaths from the COVID-19 virus. The number of COVID-19 deaths was higher after the vaccine.

iii) Did the vaccine help to reduce the overall number of  excess deaths?

With a high risk of misattribution – on both sides – the best way to measure the impact of a pandemic (or the impact of a pandemic response) is to analyse the all-cause mortality data and the all-cause excess death data.

Figure 3.1  Cumulative Excess Feaths V Cumulative COVID-19 vaccine doses

England suffered around 50,000 excess deaths in 2020. The majority of those deaths were attributed to COVID-19.  Since the COVID-19 vaccine roll out on the 8^th December 2020 however, England has suffered a further 100,000 excess deaths.

In addition to COVID-19 deaths, we are seeing a +10% increase in cardiovascular deaths. There is also a huge volume of ‘Other – ill defined conditions. These excess deaths show no sign of abating either, and even with reducing ‘Covid’ deaths we have now experienced 52 consecutive weeks of excess death in England. We never even seen such sustained periods of excess during the peak months of the ‘pandemic’.

So, not only have the vaccines failed in reducing all-cause excess deaths. We are now in the midst of a year long pandemic of non-covid excess deaths. The question must be asked – especially given the known links between heart inflammation side effects of the vaccines – are the COVID-19 vaccines driving excess deaths in England during 2022/2023?

Conclusion #03:

No. The COVID-19 Vaccine did not help to reduce the number of excess deaths.

In summary. I see no measurable benefit of the vaccine. In all three gauges: cases, covid deaths, excess deaths, we see an increase AFTER the vaccine roll out than prior to the vaccine.

We also have a control group of ~8 Million unvaccinated adults in England. We are also dying at a lower rate than the vaccinated – even when age adjusted per 100,000.

Now, I may be guilty of confirmation bias in my work. However, I remain convinced that my choice to remain unvaccinated was 100% correct – and even if I was wrong, I could afford to be wrong. The vaccinated meanwhile, cannot afford me to be right.

Thanks for reading,

Freedom Podcast

Source: ONS / NHS / UK Government Covid Statistics